Research series · 3 installments
College World Series 2026.
Omaha, simulated — the eight-team bracket, the starter-by-starter final, and the graded recap.
01Series recap
Arms vs. hot streak, revisited: the hot streak took it
Oklahoma is the national champion, two games to one. The model favored North Carolina's arms at 58.1% — and named, in advance, the exact 42% path the Sooners walked.
OU champions · model had UNC 58.1% · the 42% landed02What-ifArms vs. hot streak: why the model likes North Carolina's pitching over Oklahoma's run
The College World Series final, simulated starter-by-starter. North Carolina runs the better arm to the mound every game — its worst projected starter still grades ahead of Oklahoma's best — and the series number firms to 58.1%.
UNC 58.1% / OU 41.9% · best-of-303What-ifThe College World Series, simulated 10,000 times
Eight teams in Omaha, one double-elimination bracket, and a model that doesn't care about seeding. Who the simulations actually like to cut down the nets.
Field of 8 · 10,000 sims